Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 08/10, 16:30
Prediction: James Newton vs Marc Van Der Merwe
Team pages: Marc Van Der Merwe
Prediction summary
Winner
James Newton
Marc Van Der Merwe
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
James Newton
7-3 (W-L)
Marc Van Der Merwe
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Newton 1551 · Marc Van Der Merwe 1474
| James Newton | Marc Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Newton (rating 1551 vs 1474).
- James Newton is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| James Newton | Marc Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Newton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mark Havlicek UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Alexandre Bergeron UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Raul Garcia UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Theo Hegarty UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Marc Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Madhav Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Simon Myslivec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/09 | James Quattro UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Julian Messina UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Connor Doig M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Newton vs Marc Van Der Merwe?
Our model gives 53% to Marc Van Der Merwe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.