Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 08/10, 13:30

Prediction: Amandine Monnot vs Kim Chiarello

Team pages: Amandine Monnot · Kim Chiarello

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Amandine Monnot Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Amandine Monnot 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLL
Kim Chiarello 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amandine Monnot 1476 · Kim Chiarello 1565
Amandine MonnotKim Chiarello
Our model37%63%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kim Chiarello (rating 1476 vs 1565).
  • Kim Chiarello is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Amandine MonnotKim Chiarello
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.5-11.711.8-8.8
Aces1.21.9
Double faults3.14.9
1st serve %60.8%69.1%
Break %51.2%54.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amandine Monnot

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Lilian Poling
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-1 16-12 W
01/10 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
0-2 12-14 L
29/09 Zeel Desai
W35 Reims
2-0 12-2 W
06/09 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Montreux · Clay
1-2 15-14 L
01/09 Aurora Zantedeschi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 9-13 L
28/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Josy Daems
W50 Oldenzaal
2-1 14-11 W
26/08 Sina Herrmann
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-7 W
26/07 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
21/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W75 Cordenons
1-2 13-19 L

Kim Chiarello

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Marie Villet
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 14-12 W
05/10 Hee Rae Im
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-4 W
04/10 Anna Brunet-Brady
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-1 W
30/09 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
1-2 11-16 L
29/09 Meline Lataste
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
28/09 Severine Deppner
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Demi Tran
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 10-13 L
13/09 Naoko Eto
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Lisa Claeys
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 17-14 W
16/06 Diana Martynov
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amandine Monnot vs Kim Chiarello?

Our model gives 57% to Amandine Monnot, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.