Tennis · Challenger Villena · 08/10, 13:30
Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Damir Dzumhur · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
5-5 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Damir Dzumhur
1–1
Abedallah Shelbayh
(2 last)
- 20 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 22 Oct2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1502 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1558
| Damir Dzumhur | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abedallah Shelbayh (rating 1502 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.1 | 12.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Damir Dzumhur 1 – 1 Abedallah Shelbayh (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Damir Dzumhur 1–1 Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/24 Challenger Montemar | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10/24 Challenger Brest | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 54% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.