Tennis · M15 Rodez · 08/10, 10:30
Prediction: Noah Boutleux vs Guillaume Dalmasso
Team pages: Noah Boutleux · Guillaume Dalmasso
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Boutleux
Guillaume Dalmasso
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Boutleux
6-4 (W-L)
Guillaume Dalmasso
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Boutleux 1541 · Guillaume Dalmasso 1438
| Noah Boutleux | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Boutleux (rating 1541 vs 1438).
- Noah Boutleux is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (10.5/match).
Statistics
| Noah Boutleux | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.2 | 9.6-12.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 10.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 70.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Boutleux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Robin Eldin M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Stefan Seifert M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Tom Zeuch M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Mac Visser M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Pierre Ngijol Carre M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Romeo Nobili M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pierre Ngijol Carre M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Mathys Picard M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
Guillaume Dalmasso
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Roan Jones M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Damien Clerc M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Julien Dando M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | James Trotter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Boutleux vs Guillaume Dalmasso?
Our model gives 51% to Noah Boutleux, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.