Tennis · Challenger Villena · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · Pedro Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Martinez
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Rincon
1–1
Pedro Martinez
(2 last)
- 16 Jun2-0 14-12W
- 20 Jun0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1509 · Pedro Martinez 1507
| Daniel Rincon | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.2 | 11-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Daniel Rincon 1 – 1 Pedro Martinez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 1–1 Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Challenger Parma | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06/23 Challenger Blois | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 22/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.