Tennis · W50 Burgas · 08/10, 10:30
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Iva Ivanova
Team pages: Federica Urgesi · Iva Ivanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Iva Ivanova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
7-3 (W-L)
Iva Ivanova
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1508 · Iva Ivanova 1474
| Federica Urgesi | Iva Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Iva Ivanova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Iva Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10 | 10.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 58% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Babel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Iva Ivanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Lidia Encheva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Merel Hoedt W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ines Leon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Martha Matoula W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Madelief Hageman W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Iva Ivanova?
Our model gives 69% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.