Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 22:00
Prediction: Katrina Scott vs Lexington Reed
Team pages: Katrina Scott · Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Katrina Scott
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Katrina Scott
5-5 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katrina Scott
2–0
Lexington Reed
(2 last)
- 22 May2-0 12-1W
- 03 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katrina Scott 1481 · Lexington Reed 1555
| Katrina Scott | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington Reed (rating 1481 vs 1555).
- Head-to-head: Katrina Scott 2–0 Lexington Reed (2).
Statistics
| Katrina Scott | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.2 | 12.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Katrina Scott 2 – 0 Lexington Reed (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katrina Scott 2–0 Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/25 ITF W35 Orlando | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/04/24 W35 Jackson | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katrina Scott
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Ellie Schoppe WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Sabastiani Leon WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lexington Reed
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Juliana Lucia Diianni W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eunhye Lee W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katrina Scott vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 58% to Katrina Scott, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.