Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer
Team pages: Mariella Thamm · Clara Vlasselaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariella Thamm
Clara Vlasselaer
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mariella Thamm
7-3 (W-L)
Clara Vlasselaer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariella Thamm 1557 · Clara Vlasselaer 1528
| Mariella Thamm | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Clara Vlasselaer makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Mariella Thamm | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-6.4 | 11-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 68% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariella Thamm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/10 | Eunchae Kim W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/10 | Savine Erler W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Samira De Stefano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/02 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/02 | Lea Boskovic W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Clara Vlasselaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Reims |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anastasiia Firman W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Diana Martynov W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Valentina Ryser W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Lian Tran W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/09 | Lou Borez W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Raphaelle Lacasse W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Gyeong Seo Lee W50 Evora |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer?
Our model gives 60% to Mariella Thamm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.