Tennis · Challenger Villena · 08/10, 15:30
Prediction: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
7-3 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1504 · Petr Nesterov 1543
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.3 | 13.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Bolt US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Carles Hernandez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Charles Chen Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 58% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.