Tennis · W35 Seville · 07/10, 12:30
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Angelica Sara
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Angelica Sara
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Angelica Sara
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
7-3 (W-L)
Angelica Sara
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1556 · Angelica Sara 1496
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Angelica Sara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Cortez Llorca (rating 1556 vs 1496).
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Angelica Sara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.4 | 10.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kira Pavlova W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Angelica Sara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Seville |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Laura Boehner W35 Seville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Federica Di Sarra ITF W15 Solarino |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/11 | Marcella Dessolis ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Kseniia Ruchkina ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Min Liu ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Federica Di Sarra ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Carolina Gasparini ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Giulia Paterno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Angelica Sara?
Our model gives 74% to Lucia Cortez Llorca, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.