Tennis · W50 Burgas · 08/10, 12:00
Prediction: Sarah Van Emst vs Alena Kovackova
Team pages: Sarah Van Emst · Alena Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Van Emst
Alena Kovackova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Van Emst
5-5 (W-L)
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Van Emst 1525 · Alena Kovackova 1574
| Sarah Van Emst | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1525 vs 1574).
- Note: Sarah Van Emst makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sarah Van Emst | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.4 | 12.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Van Emst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/10 | Milana Konovalova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Petra Konjikusic W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Salma Djoubri W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tilwith Di Girolami W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Polona Hercog W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Van Emst vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 69% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.