Prediction: Thomas Gerbaud vs Jelle Sels
Team pages: Thomas Gerbaud · Jelle Sels
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Gerbaud
Jelle Sels
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Gerbaud
7-3 (W-L)
Jelle Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Gerbaud 1536 · Jelle Sels 1473
| Thomas Gerbaud | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Gerbaud (rating 1536 vs 1473).
- Note: Thomas Gerbaud makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Thomas Gerbaud | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 11.9-13.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Gerbaud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Sean Hodkin M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Victor Bonnet Eymard M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Meerbusch |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Damien Salvestre M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jules Auffray M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Tom Jonio M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Pijus Vaitiekunas M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Axel Huysmans M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Samuel Battistone M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/08 | David Poljak Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Gerbaud vs Jelle Sels?
Our model gives 60% to Jelle Sels, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.