Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 06/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sophie Luescher vs Sara Victoria Balan
Team pages: Sophie Luescher · Sara Victoria Balan
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Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Luescher
Sara Victoria Balan
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Luescher
6-4 (W-L)
Sara Victoria Balan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Luescher 1535 · Sara Victoria Balan 1491
| Sophie Luescher | Sara Victoria Balan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1535 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Sophie Luescher | Sara Victoria Balan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.9 | 10.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 58% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Luescher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Nala Kovacic W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Meline Lataste W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aurora Zurmuehle W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Patricia Ordonez Anduiza W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Marine Szostak W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
Sara Victoria Balan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Carolina Kuhl W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 25/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Juliana Singeorzan W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Anastasia Safta W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Maria Golovina W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 27/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Luescher vs Sara Victoria Balan?
Our model gives 51% to Sara Victoria Balan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.