Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Oscar Weightman vs Diogo Marques
Team pages: Oscar Weightman · Diogo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Weightman
Diogo Marques
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Weightman
5-5 (W-L)
Diogo Marques
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Weightman 1502 · Diogo Marques 1461
| Oscar Weightman | Diogo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Weightman (rating 1502 vs 1461).
Statistics
| Oscar Weightman | Diogo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.7 | 11.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Weightman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Turku |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Marcus Walters M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Adam Majchrzak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Diogo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Pedro Anton Ruibal M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 06/05 | Jose Freitas M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 24/04 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Weightman vs Diogo Marques?
Our model gives 66% to Oscar Weightman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.