Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Daniel Verbeek
Team pages: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento · Daniel Verbeek
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Daniel Verbeek
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Verbeek
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1474 · Daniel Verbeek 1530
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Daniel Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Verbeek (rating 1474 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Daniel Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.7 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Fermin Barcala Lopez M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Jorge Lopez Dominguez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daniel Verbeek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Haren |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Richard Antoni M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Megrabian M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Felix Romeo M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Abel Forger M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Daniel Verbeek?
Our model gives 66% to Daniel Verbeek.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.