Prediction: Valeria Savinykh vs Lizette Cabrera
Team pages: Valeria Savinykh · Lizette Cabrera
Prediction summary
Winner
Valeria Savinykh
Lizette Cabrera
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valeria Savinykh
3-7 (W-L)
Lizette Cabrera
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valeria Savinykh
2–0
Lizette Cabrera
(2 last)
- 11 Jul2-1 17-13W
- 10 Jun2-1 19-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valeria Savinykh 1478 · Lizette Cabrera 1414
| Valeria Savinykh | Lizette Cabrera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeria Savinykh (rating 1478 vs 1414).
- Head-to-head: Valeria Savinykh 2–0 Lizette Cabrera (2).
- Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Valeria Savinykh | Lizette Cabrera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.2 | 9.5-13.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Valeria Savinykh 2 – 0 Lizette Cabrera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valeria Savinykh 2–0 Lizette Cabrera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/24 W50 Corroios-Seixal | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06/18 WTA Nottingham Qual | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valeria Savinykh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Zi Ye Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Sitong Chen W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Eri Shimizu W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Emma Dong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lizette Cabrera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Victoria Bosio WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Anna Rogers WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Fiona Crawley W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valeria Savinykh vs Lizette Cabrera?
Our model gives 51% to Lizette Cabrera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.