Prediction: Baylen Brown vs Arina Arifullina
Team pages: Arina Arifullina
Prediction summary
Winner
Baylen Brown
Arina Arifullina
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Baylen Brown
2-8 (W-L)
Arina Arifullina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Baylen Brown 1434 · Arina Arifullina 1495
| Baylen Brown | Arina Arifullina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1434 vs 1495).
- Arina Arifullina is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Baylen Brown makes many double faults (10.4/match).
Statistics
| Baylen Brown | Arina Arifullina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.5 | 9-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 10.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 64.7% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baylen Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Isid Hernandez UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Sabine Rutlauka ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Madalena Fernandes ITF W50 Funchal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Melisa Ercan ITF W35 Faro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Jamilah Snells ITF W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Ekaterina Perelygina W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Amandine Hesse W35 Baza |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Min Liu W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kseniia Ruchkina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 14/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Satima Toregen W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baylen Brown vs Arina Arifullina?
Our model gives 77% to Arina Arifullina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.