Prediction: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Paula Cembranos
Team pages: Kateryna Lazarenko · Paula Cembranos
Prediction summary
Winner
Kateryna Lazarenko
Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kateryna Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Paula Cembranos
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kateryna Lazarenko 1575 · Paula Cembranos 1480
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1575 vs 1480).
- Kateryna Lazarenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Kateryna Lazarenko makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 11.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Juliana Giaccio W35 Baza |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Valentina Abril Bruno W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Laura Rabasco Segura W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Emily Appleton W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Isabel Adrover Gallego W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/09 | Seda Baslilar W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Charlotte Maurey W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Evora |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Evora |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kateryna Lazarenko vs Paula Cembranos?
Our model gives 56% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.