Tennis · M15 Burgas · 06/10, 09:30
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Jannik Maute
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Jannik Maute
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
6-4 (W-L)
Jannik Maute
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1527 · Jannik Maute 1571
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Jannik Maute | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jannik Maute (rating 1527 vs 1571).
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Jannik Maute | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.1 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Marko Retelj M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Castagnola M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jannik Maute
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Calvin Mueller M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Jaron Held M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Arthur Nagel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/08 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/04 | Henry Lieberman M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute?
Our model gives 62% to Jannik Maute, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.