Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 06/10, 15:00
Prediction: Marie Villet vs Kim Chiarello
Team pages: Marie Villet · Kim Chiarello
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Villet
Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Villet
7-3 (W-L)
Kim Chiarello
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Villet 1533 · Kim Chiarello 1539
| Marie Villet | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Marie Villet | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.7 | 11.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Villet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Charlotte Cora Bruneton W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentina Khrebtova W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Aurora Nosei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Yiru Chen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Selima Bendhia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Kim Chiarello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Hee Rae Im W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Brunet-Brady W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Salma Djoubri W35 Reims |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Meline Lataste W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Severine Deppner W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Demi Tran W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Naoko Eto W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Lisa Claeys W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Diana Martynov W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Sara Cakarevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Villet vs Kim Chiarello?
Our model gives 61% to Kim Chiarello, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.