Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 06/10, 13:30
Prediction: Jana Otzipka vs Marine Szostak
Team pages: Jana Otzipka · Marine Szostak
Prediction summary
Winner
Jana Otzipka
Marine Szostak
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jana Otzipka
4-6 (W-L)
Marine Szostak
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jana Otzipka 1451 · Marine Szostak 1513
| Jana Otzipka | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marine Szostak (rating 1451 vs 1513).
- Marine Szostak is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jana Otzipka makes many double faults (9.8/match).
- Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Jana Otzipka | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.4 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 9.8 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jana Otzipka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Martyna Kubka W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Evora |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Ana Filipa Santos W50 Evora |
1-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Anika Jaskova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Irina Fetecau W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Marine Szostak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Margaux Komano W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Leila Fabbri W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Milena Ciocan W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Katarina Kujovic W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Warda Ait El Bachir W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Romane Longueville W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Kseniia Ruchkina W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Sophie Luescher W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jana Otzipka vs Marine Szostak?
Our model gives 51% to Marine Szostak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.