Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 06/10, 12:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Mariella Thamm
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Mariella Thamm
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Mariella Thamm
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
7-3 (W-L)
Mariella Thamm
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1562 · Mariella Thamm 1530
| Manon Leonard | Mariella Thamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Mariella Thamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.8 | 9.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Liv Boulard W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 18/09 | Martyna Kubka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Mariella Thamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Eunchae Kim W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/10 | Savine Erler W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Samira De Stefano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/02 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/02 | Lea Boskovic W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/11 | Ella Mcdonald ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Mariella Thamm?
Our model gives 50% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.