Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Mathys Domenc vs Petros Tsitsipas
Team pages: Mathys Domenc · Petros Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Domenc
Petros Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Domenc
6-4 (W-L)
Petros Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Domenc 1538 · Petros Tsitsipas 1457
| Mathys Domenc | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Domenc (rating 1538 vs 1457).
- Mathys Domenc is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Domenc | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.2 | 10.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Domenc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Louis Wessels M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Maxence Rivet M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Maurice-Noel Kaserer M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Domenc vs Petros Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 62% to Mathys Domenc, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.