Tennis · W35 Seville · 06/10, 14:00
Prediction: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Team pages: Esther Lopez Alcaraz · Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Prediction summary
Winner
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
7-3 (W-L)
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Lopez Alcaraz 1498 · Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 1573
| Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caijsa Wilda Hennemann (rating 1498 vs 1573).
Statistics
| Esther Lopez Alcaraz | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 11.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 59% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Maria Berlanga Bandera W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Maria Toma W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Madhurima Sawant W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Raquel Caballero Chica W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Elizaveta Rozhkova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Anja Stankovic W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 16/09 | Iva Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Aleksandra Rangelova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemann?
Our model gives 77% to Caijsa Wilda Hennemann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.