Tennis · W50 Burgas · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Laura Mair vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Team pages: Laura Mair · Jazmin Ortenzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Mair
Jazmin Ortenzi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair
5-5 (W-L)
Jazmin Ortenzi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1482 · Jazmin Ortenzi 1460
| Laura Mair | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Laura Mair | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10 | 8.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Mair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Varna |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Toneva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Aliesia Reva W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Jazmin Ortenzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Francesca Pace WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Viola Turini WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Jazmin Ortenzi?
Our model gives 63% to Jazmin Ortenzi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.