Tennis · W50 Burgas · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Luisina Giovannini
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Luisina Giovannini
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Luisina Giovannini
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lia Karatancheva
1–0
Luisina Giovannini
(1 last)
- 12 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1448 · Luisina Giovannini 1503
| Lia Karatancheva | Luisina Giovannini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luisina Giovannini (rating 1448 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Lia Karatancheva 1–0 Luisina Giovannini (1).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Luisina Giovannini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.1 | 10.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 69.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Lia Karatancheva 1 – 0 Luisina Giovannini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lia Karatancheva 1–0 Luisina Giovannini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/25 W35 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Ikumi Yamazaki W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 04/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nika Hurkacz WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Luisina Giovannini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Francesca Pace W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Kayla Day W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Angelica Moratelli W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Delia Gaillard W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Ashlyn Krueger French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Luisina Giovannini?
Our model gives 64% to Luisina Giovannini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.