Tennis · W50 Burgas · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Polona Hercog
Team pages: Alena Kovackova · Polona Hercog
Prediction summary
Winner
Alena Kovackova
Polona Hercog
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova
6-4 (W-L)
Polona Hercog
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1554 · Polona Hercog 1455
| Alena Kovackova | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1554 vs 1455).
- Alena Kovackova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10 | 10.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 58% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Naiktha Bains W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Ayana Akli W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Polona Hercog?
Our model gives 62% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.