Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 07/10, 15:30
Prediction: Ashton Mcleod vs Marc Van Der Merwe
Team pages: Ashton Mcleod · Marc Van Der Merwe
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashton Mcleod
Marc Van Der Merwe
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ashton Mcleod
3-7 (W-L)
Marc Van Der Merwe
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashton Mcleod 1451 · Marc Van Der Merwe 1486
| Ashton Mcleod | Marc Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ashton Mcleod makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ashton Mcleod | Marc Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.2 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 40% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashton Mcleod
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Simon Myslivec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Madhav Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Nikita Volonski M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Volonski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Marc Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Madhav Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Simon Myslivec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/09 | James Quattro UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Julian Messina UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Connor Doig M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashton Mcleod vs Marc Van Der Merwe?
Our model gives 68% to Marc Van Der Merwe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.