Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Calvin Mueller
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Calvin Mueller
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Calvin Mueller
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
6-4 (W-L)
Calvin Mueller
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrien Gobat
0–1
Calvin Mueller
(1 last)
- 26 Sept0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1479 · Calvin Mueller 1538
| Adrien Gobat | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Mueller (rating 1479 vs 1538).
- Head-to-head: Adrien Gobat 0–1 Calvin Mueller (1).
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.6 | 11.2-9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Adrien Gobat 0 – 1 Calvin Mueller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrien Gobat 0–1 Calvin Mueller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 M15 Forbach | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/02 | Florian Broska Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Tibo Colson M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/02 | Arthur Nagel M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 19/02 | Tom Zeuch M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/02 | Marcus Walters M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/02 | Henry Searle M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/01 | Arthur Nagel M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/01 | Andrea M'chich M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Calvin Mueller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Kacper Knitter M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Sebastian Tejerina M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Hazem Naw M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Stephan Iserath M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Calvin Mueller?
Our model gives 51% to Calvin Mueller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.