Tennis · M15 Rodez · 07/10, 10:00

Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Timeo Trufelli

Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Timeo Trufelli

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Gijs Brouwer Timeo Trufelli
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLL
Timeo Trufelli 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1460 · Timeo Trufelli 1500
Gijs BrouwerTimeo Trufelli
Our model44%56%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timeo Trufelli (rating 1460 vs 1500).
  • Note: Gijs Brouwer makes many double faults (4.8/match).
  • Note: Timeo Trufelli makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Gijs BrouwerTimeo Trufelli
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) –
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.71.2-1.2
Games (G-P)8.7-12.910.8-10.9
Aces15.4
Double faults4.84
1st serve %55.7%73%
Break %46.7%32.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gijs Brouwer

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
09/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
25/08 Andres Martin
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
08/08 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
07/08 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
04/08 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
12/07 Tsung-Hao Huang
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
29/04 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Timeo Trufelli

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Arthur Nagel
M15 Forbach
0-2 7-13 L
24/09 Louis Van Herck
M15 Forbach
2-1 15-13 W
22/09 Attila Hueller-Varga
M15 Forbach
2-0 12-0 W
16/09 Hugo Car
M25 Nevers
1-2 13-18 L
07/09 Antoine Walch
M25 Plaisir
0-2 7-12 L
07/09 Matiej Reiter
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-3 W
06/09 Evan Jarzaguet
M25 Plaisir
2-1 11-9 W
26/08 Liam Branger
M15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 14-19 L
04/08 Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano
0-2 4-12 L
03/08 Leonardo Angeloni
M25 Fano
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Timeo Trufelli?

Our model gives 63% to Gijs Brouwer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.