Tennis · M15 Rodez · 07/10, 10:00

Prediction: Roan Jones vs Guillaume Dalmasso

Team pages: Roan Jones · Guillaume Dalmasso

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Roan Jones Guillaume Dalmasso
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Roan Jones 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWL
Guillaume Dalmasso 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roan Jones 1533 · Guillaume Dalmasso 1438
Roan JonesGuillaume Dalmasso
Our model63%37%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1533 vs 1438).
  • Roan Jones is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (11.3/match).

Statistics

Roan JonesGuillaume Dalmasso
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.80.7-1.6
Games (G-P)9.8-8.59.4-12.4
Aces2.64.5
Double faults1.311.3
1st serve %68.9%69.9%
Break %53.3%66.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roan Jones

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
02/09 Theo Herrmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Mae Malige
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Peter Makk
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Guillaume Dalmasso

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Damien Clerc
M25 Nevers
0-2 5-12 L
06/09 Hugo Car
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
03/09 Alex Knaff
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 7-15 L
01/09 Julien Dando
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 17-14 W
16/08 Garrett Johns
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
20/07 James Trotter
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Mikael Arseneault
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
12/07 Volodymyr Gurenko
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roan Jones vs Guillaume Dalmasso?

Our model gives 64% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.