Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 14:30
Prediction: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel
Team pages: Hynek Barton · Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Hynek Barton
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hynek Barton
4-6 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hynek Barton 1487 · Toby Samuel 1539
| Hynek Barton | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toby Samuel (rating 1487 vs 1539).
- Toby Samuel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hynek Barton | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.1 | 13.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hynek Barton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/10 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Andy Andrade Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 69% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.