Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 06/10, 12:00
Prediction: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Stefano D'Agostino
Team pages: Gianmarco Ferrari · Stefano D'Agostino
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianmarco Ferrari
Stefano D'Agostino
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gianmarco Ferrari
6-4 (W-L)
Stefano D'Agostino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gianmarco Ferrari
1–0
Stefano D'Agostino
(1 last)
- 25 Jul2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianmarco Ferrari 1507 · Stefano D'Agostino 1530
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gianmarco Ferrari 1–0 Stefano D'Agostino (1).
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.4 | 11-10 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 42% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Gianmarco Ferrari 1 – 0 Stefano D'Agostino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gianmarco Ferrari 1–0 Stefano D'Agostino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/24 M25 Kramsach | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Giannicola Misasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Stefano D'Agostino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Richard Lacis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Manuel Mazza M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianmarco Ferrari vs Stefano D'Agostino?
Our model gives 56% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.