Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 07/10, 17:00

Prediction: Stepan Mruzek vs Robert Watzka

Team pages: Stepan Mruzek · Robert Watzka

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Stepan Mruzek Robert Watzka
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stepan Mruzek 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLWL
Robert Watzka 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stepan Mruzek 1575 · Robert Watzka 1510
Stepan MruzekRobert Watzka
Our model59%41%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Mruzek (rating 1575 vs 1510).
  • Stepan Mruzek is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Stepan MruzekRobert Watzka
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.71.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.5-9.211.1-12
Aces1.81.1
Double faults3.32.9
1st serve %53%62.8%
Break %40%38.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stepan Mruzek

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Roman Venger
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
05/10 Antonin Chapuis
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Jonas Gundacker
M15 Wels
1-2 10-12 L
05/07 Matyas Kozlovsky
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-1 15-10 W
04/07 Vaclav Schneider
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-7 W
03/07 Daniel Bien
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Dylan Davies
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Vojtech Vales
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-1 14-14 W
29/06 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-3 W
23/05 AJ Deem
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-1 14-15 W

Robert Watzka

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Antonin Chapuis
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/10 Roman Venger
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/05 Alex Marti Pujolras
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
21/05 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
20/05 Iliyan Radulov
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/03 Michiel de Krom
M25 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
03/03 Charles Chen
M15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/12 Miguel Semedo
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/12 Nuno Pinheiro
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
13/12 Nazim Makhlouf
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
1-2 7-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stepan Mruzek vs Robert Watzka?

Our model gives 53% to Stepan Mruzek, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.