Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 06/10, 07:30
Prediction: Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina
Team pages: Yoshihito Nishioka · Dalibor Svrcina
Prediction summary
Winner
Yoshihito Nishioka
Dalibor Svrcina
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yoshihito Nishioka
7-3 (W-L)
Dalibor Svrcina
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yoshihito Nishioka
1–0
Dalibor Svrcina
(1 last)
- 18 Jan3-0 18-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yoshihito Nishioka 1528 · Dalibor Svrcina 1552
| Yoshihito Nishioka | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dalibor Svrcina dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 50.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yoshihito Nishioka 1–0 Dalibor Svrcina (1).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Yoshihito Nishioka | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.3 | 15-13 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.4
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Yoshihito Nishioka 1 – 0 Dalibor Svrcina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yoshihito Nishioka 1–0 Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/23 Australian Open | 3-0 | 18-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yoshihito Nishioka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/02 | Coleman Wong ATP Delray Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 12/01 | Nerman Fatic Australian Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/01 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Canberra · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/11 | Jason Jung Challenger Kobe · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 09/11 | James Duckworth Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/11 | James McCabe Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 07/11 | Akira Santillan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Billy Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 58% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.