Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/10, 10:30
Prediction: Mathys Picard vs Maxime Chazal
Team pages: Mathys Picard · Maxime Chazal
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Picard
Maxime Chazal
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Picard
4-6 (W-L)
Maxime Chazal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Picard 1484 · Maxime Chazal 1529
| Mathys Picard | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1484 vs 1529).
- Note: Mathys Picard makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Picard | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.1 | 11.8-10 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Picard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Daniel Domingos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Noah Boutleux M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/09 | Sacha Grandvincent M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Fares Zakaria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 16/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Robinson Le Meur M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Picard vs Maxime Chazal?
Our model gives 72% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.