Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 17:30
Prediction: Megan Heuser vs Kira Matushkina
Team pages: Megan Heuser · Kira Matushkina
Prediction summary
Winner
Megan Heuser
Kira Matushkina
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Megan Heuser
6-4 (W-L)
Kira Matushkina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Megan Heuser 1549 · Kira Matushkina 1507
| Megan Heuser | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Megan Heuser (rating 1549 vs 1507).
- Megan Heuser is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Megan Heuser | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.2 | 9.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Megan Heuser
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ava Beltran UTR Pro Chicago Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Autumn Rabjohns UTR Pro Chicago Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Marelie Raath UTR Pro Chicago Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Riley Lepsi UTR Pro Chicago Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Mika Dagan Fruchtman UTR Pro Chicago Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Emily Appleton W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Daria Gorska W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Daria Kuczer W35 Krakow |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Viktoria Veleva W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Aishi Das W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Gloriana Nahum UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Lani Brotman UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Zoie Epps UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Alian Zack UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katherine Hui W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Rebecca Marino W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Megan Heuser vs Kira Matushkina?
Our model gives 63% to Kira Matushkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.