Prediction: Justin Lenders vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Team pages: Justin Lenders · Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Lenders
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Lenders
6-4 (W-L)
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Lenders 1497 · Ruslan Serazhetdinov 1470
| Justin Lenders | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Justin Lenders | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 9.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Lenders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Zaccharie Cado M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Charlie Bazil M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Mateo Fluri M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Paul Theate M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Timeo Trufelli M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Axel Huysmans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Arthur Lenglet M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Feliciano Nicolas Saulino M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Latrubesse M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Aditya Chopra M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Matis Roche M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Lenders vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov?
Our model gives 63% to Justin Lenders, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.