Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 05/10, 10:30
Prediction: Sophia Ksandinov vs Thea Marcu
Team pages: Sophia Ksandinov · Thea Marcu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophia Ksandinov
Thea Marcu
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sophia Ksandinov
5-5 (W-L)
Thea Marcu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophia Ksandinov 1502 · Thea Marcu 1485
| Sophia Ksandinov | Thea Marcu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sophia Ksandinov | Thea Marcu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.7 | 7.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophia Ksandinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Varna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Sophie Williams W15 Varna |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Emma Slavikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Daria Gorska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Magdalena Baniak W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 24/06 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yekaterina Krupina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Thea Marcu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alla Traysta W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Campulung |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Nina Andronicou W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexia Ioana Tatu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Simona Ogescu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophia Ksandinov vs Thea Marcu?
Our model gives 57% to Sophia Ksandinov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.