Tennis · Challenger Villena · 05/10, 12:30

Prediction: Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov

Team pages: Hynek Barton · Petr Nesterov

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Hynek Barton Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hynek Barton 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLW
Petr Nesterov 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hynek Barton 1503 · Petr Nesterov 1533
Hynek BartonPetr Nesterov
Our model46%54%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Hynek BartonPetr Nesterov
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-11.213.2-11.8
Aces5.34.8
Double faults2.42.9
1st serve %71.4%71.3%
Break %43.5%59.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hynek Barton

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Stefan Latinov
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
17/09 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
08/09 Nico Hipfl
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
24/08 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
18/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/08 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
09/08 Tim Handel
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Petr Nesterov

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Charles Chen
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
29/09 Goncalo Marques
Challenger Porto · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
28/09 Marko Topo
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/09 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/09 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
01/09 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
12/08 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz
1-2 16-19 L
09/08 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
08/08 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/08 Adrian Andreev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov?

Our model gives 54% to Hynek Barton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.