Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 05/10, 10:30
Prediction: Lian Tran vs Anna Burchak
Team pages: Lian Tran · Anna Burchak
Prediction summary
Winner
Lian Tran
Anna Burchak
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lian Tran
7-3 (W-L)
Anna Burchak
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lian Tran 1540 · Anna Burchak 1453
| Lian Tran | Anna Burchak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lian Tran (rating 1540 vs 1453).
- Lian Tran is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Burchak makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Lian Tran | Anna Burchak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 8.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 56% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lian Tran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Evita Ramirez W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Diana Martynov W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Tina Manescu W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Clara Vlasselaer W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Daniela Vismane W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Marie Mattel W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Hanna Bougouffa W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Rikke De Koning W15 Haren |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Anna Burchak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Malkia Ngounoue W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Margaux Komano W35 Reims |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Lisa Claeys W15 Haren |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Angelina Wirges W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lois Newberry W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julia Victoria Rennert W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Tina Manescu W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lian Tran vs Anna Burchak?
Our model gives 73% to Lian Tran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.