Tennis · W50 Burgas · 05/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sarah Van Emst vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Team pages: Sarah Van Emst · Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Van Emst
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Van Emst
4-6 (W-L)
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Van Emst 1497 · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1501
| Sarah Van Emst | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Sarah Van Emst | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.3 | 12.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 52% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Van Emst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Milana Konovalova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Petra Konjikusic W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Salma Djoubri W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tilwith Di Girolami W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Margaux Maquet W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Raya Markova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Tara Wuerth W15 Varna |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Anne Schaefer W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Federica Sacco W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Van Emst vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu?
Our model gives 55% to Maia Ilinca Burcescu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.