Tennis · ATP Shanghai · 05/10, 07:30
Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic
Team pages: Terence Atmane · Bernard Tomic
Prediction summary
Winner
Terence Atmane
Bernard Tomic
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane
7-3 (W-L)
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1508 · Bernard Tomic 1564
| Terence Atmane | Bernard Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bernard Tomic (rating 1508 vs 1564).
- Terence Atmane dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 48.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Terence Atmane | Bernard Tomic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.8 | 13.6-11 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 18/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rigele Te ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic?
Our model gives 58% to Terence Atmane, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.