Tennis · Challenger Villena · 05/10, 10:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
4-6 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1488 · Oliver Tarvet 1608
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1488 vs 1608).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 10 aces and 48.2% break avg.
- Oliver Tarvet is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 13.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 10 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 70% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.