Tennis · Challenger Palermo · 05/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
7-3 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gerard Campana Lee
0–2
Pedro Vives Marcos
(2 last)
- 28 Aug0-2 9-13L
- 13 Aug1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1600 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1541
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1600 vs 1541).
- Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gerard Campana Lee 0–2 Pedro Vives Marcos (2).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.8 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 2 Pedro Vives Marcos (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gerard Campana Lee 0–2 Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/25 M25 Oviedo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08/25 M25 Gijon | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Pietro Marino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Lorenzo Giustino M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Tim Handel M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Tim Handel M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 53% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.