Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/10, 10:30

Prediction: Emma Mazzoni vs Cristina Pescucci

Team pages: Emma Mazzoni · Cristina Pescucci

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Emma Mazzoni Cristina Pescucci
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Mazzoni 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLWL
Cristina Pescucci 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emma Mazzoni 1452 · Cristina Pescucci 1525
Emma MazzoniCristina Pescucci
Our model40%60%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristina Pescucci (rating 1452 vs 1525).
  • Cristina Pescucci is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Emma MazzoniCristina Pescucci
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.3-0.9
Games (G-P)7.6-11.310-8.1
Aces0.43
Double faults3.43.1
1st serve %50%64.3%
Break %43.7%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emma Mazzoni

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-11 L
25/08 Martyna Zaremba
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Karolina Kozakova
W35 Verbier
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Danique Havermans
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Aya Lababidi
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 10-13 L
14/07 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Zoe Ulrich
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/06 Lauryn John-Baptiste
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
28/06 Francisca Laundes
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/06 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L

Cristina Pescucci

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Mio Kijima
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
15/09 Kolie Allen
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Liv Boulard
W35 Verbier
1-2 13-17 L
24/08 Maddalena Giordano
W35 Verbier Qual
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Caterina Odorizzi
W35 Verbier Qual
2-1 13-8 W
18/08 Franziska Sziedat
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Maria Michaela Fiacan
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-6 W
16/08 Juliette Mazzoni
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Lykke Lindorff
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emma Mazzoni vs Cristina Pescucci?

Our model gives 74% to Cristina Pescucci, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.