Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 04/10, 14:30
Prediction: Mariella Thamm vs Savine Erler
Team pages: Savine Erler
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariella Thamm
Savine Erler
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mariella Thamm
6-4 (W-L)
Savine Erler
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariella Thamm 1517 · Savine Erler 1440
| Mariella Thamm | Savine Erler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariella Thamm (rating 1517 vs 1440).
- Mariella Thamm is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mariella Thamm | Savine Erler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.3 | 9.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariella Thamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Samira De Stefano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/02 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/02 | Lea Boskovic W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/11 | Ella Mcdonald ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Ella Haavisto ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/11 | Gloria De Santis ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Savine Erler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Reims |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 13/09 | Sachia Vickery W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hajar Crinebouch W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Nastassja Wittmer W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/08 | Anina Lanz W35 Verbier Qual |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Emma Wilson W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 12/10 | Hanna Jankowska W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariella Thamm vs Savine Erler?
Our model gives 74% to Mariella Thamm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.