Tennis · W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq · 04/10, 10:00
Prediction: Anna Burchak vs Malkia Ngounoue
Team pages: Anna Burchak
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Burchak
Malkia Ngounoue
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Burchak
4-6 (W-L)
Malkia Ngounoue
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Burchak 1416 · Malkia Ngounoue 1549
| Anna Burchak | Malkia Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malkia Ngounoue (rating 1416 vs 1549).
- Malkia Ngounoue is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Burchak makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Malkia Ngounoue makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Anna Burchak | Malkia Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-12.8 | 12.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 72.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Burchak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Margaux Komano W35 Reims |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Lisa Claeys W15 Haren |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Angelina Wirges W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lois Newberry W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julia Victoria Rennert W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Tina Manescu W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Vittoria Paganetti ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Malkia Ngounoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W35 Baza |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna Cabassers Morros W35 Baza |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Aliesia Reva W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Sophia Hurrion UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Estella Jaeger UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Summer Yardley UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Khadija Adeniran UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Olga Molchanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Laura Correia UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Burchak vs Malkia Ngounoue?
Our model gives 74% to Malkia Ngounoue, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.