Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi
Team pages: Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Luca Nardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Luca Nardi
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Nardi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
1–1
Luca Nardi
(2 last)
- 02 Jun2-0 12-7W
- 17 Sept1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1482 · Luca Nardi 1474
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.3 | 11.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1 – 1 Luca Nardi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1–1 Luca Nardi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/23 Challenger Vicenza | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09/21 ITF M25 Madrid | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Bolt US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Luca Nardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rio Noguchi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi?
Our model gives 62% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.