Tennis · Challenger Villena · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio
Team pages: Moez Echargui · Raul Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Raul Brancaccio
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
6-4 (W-L)
Raul Brancaccio
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moez Echargui
1–0
Raul Brancaccio
(1 last)
- 30 Sept2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1505 · Raul Brancaccio 1472
| Moez Echargui | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Moez Echargui 1–0 Raul Brancaccio (1).
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.6 | 11.3-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Moez Echargui 1 – 0 Raul Brancaccio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moez Echargui 1–0 Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/25 Challenger Villena | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Hynek Barton Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Thiago Seyboth Wild US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 10/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio?
Our model gives 61% to Moez Echargui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.